
Smart Baseball
The old stats are ruining the game and the new ones are running it. This is the case for how to think about baseball, and why most of what you were taught about it is wrong.
Writing here since 2006, and your old links still work · go to the archive
Books, board games, records, and what I cooked. Twenty years of it, and I still haven't run out of things to be wrong about.
Subscribe to my free newsletter and you'll be up to date on my latest musings.


The old stats are ruining the game and the new ones are running it. This is the case for how to think about baseball, and why most of what you were taught about it is wrong.

Bad calls, strange moves, and what they say about the rest of us. Behavioural science pointed at baseball's worst decisions, and at why smart people keep making them.
I'm excited to announce my third book coming in 2027. Even the title is TBD, but it's going to be a fun one.
I'm the Senior Baseball Writer at The Athletic, which I joined in January 2020 after thirteen and a half years at ESPN. Before that I spent four years with the Toronto Blue Jays, most of it as Special Assistant to the GM, and before that I wrote for Baseball Prospectus.
This site is for the rest of it. I've been posting here since 2006, which is either dedication or a failure to quit.
More